Caulfield Racing Tips – Thur Dec 26
We will be at Caulfield this Thur.
Track: Good 4. Rail: True.
Best Bet: Race 1 – NEIGHBOURHOOD
Race 1: Fillies and Mares BM84 Handicap 1400m
NEIGHBOURHOOD (3) is a very exciting mare that has won both starts this prep. She has a huge motor, both of those starts she has run on well despite laying in up the straight. Excited to see Willow jump on and if she goes straight, she will be way too good for this small field.
I think she is a good thing but sorting out the minors looks difficult. SOMETHING SILVER (1) continues to race well despite being up for an eternity, she was a good winner at the Valley last time when up on the speed in a similar race. RIVER JEWEL (2) may need a little luck off the inside as she could be buried in the small field, she was showing more tactical speed earlier in the prep, don’t be surprised to see her revert to that and be on the speed early.
SHAMAL LASS (7) had no luck at the Bool last time when held-up early in the straight, doubt she can sit back with the fave though and match her speed in the run home.
Race 2: 3YO BM70 Handicap 1400m
ST JOEYS (3) is an exciting gelding from the Beetroot Williams stable at the Bool, he had trialed well prior to bolting in there resuming. He then went to Flemington and had no luck at a vital stage. He ran on hard when out at the clocktower, the small field suits here.
WEDGETAIL (4) was impressive winning his maiden by a big margin last start, he sat up outside the speed and after taking over early in the straight, bolted clear to win by more than 3 lengths. This is harder. SCORPIUS (1) was impressive leading all the way at Sandown, have to be wary of horses that do that though as it can be very favourable to be on the speed there. MATADOR (6) ran on well behind that horse last time, although well beaten, the form lines have stacked up well out of that race and as mentioned earlier, it can be hard to make ground there.
Race 3: BM78 Handicap 2000m
LYNCH MOB (8) hasn’t been far away at three starts since resuming, he was well backed last start at Pakenham in a similar race when beaten as favourite. He did make up good ground from the back without ever looking the winner.
SIR PIPPIN (1) is racing fairly, Willow gets on and he will also get back in the run. This is a lot easier than what he has been racing. MISS DAMITA (10) is racing consistently but looks a huge risk if she starts at the top of the betting. She looked to have every chance last time and this is harder back against the boys. THE BLACK LEOPARD (4) won an easier race at Sandown last start and maps to get a soft run behind the leader.
Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m
PINYIN (5) was a real eye-catcher when flying home from a mile back into a placing last start when resuming. He was a big winner when second-up last campaign after having no luck, out to the 1200n and Olly going on, she should be settling closer. She looks one of the best of the day.
LIANNE (6) was forced to race out the back when she ran on hard late up the straight, I am not sure where she will settle though with the blinkers back on today. NEWS GIRL (4) found the 955m too short after getting well back in the run resuming, she is a winner second-up and will appreciate getting out to the 6 furlongs. FLOSTAR (11) looks the leader but will need a couple of cheap sectionals mid-race.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1100m
HARD PRESS (16) bolted in to win his maiden before going to the paddock, he resumed at Sandown and led all the way as a heavily backed favourite. He has had a month between runs and the wide gate, expect that they will be all out to cross and go wire to wire.
WHENEVER WHEREVER (8) had no luck when resuming at the Bool. He got back, was running into it nicely before racing tight late in what has been a very good form reference. LEITER (14) won by a gap job on debt and has placed at two runs since, he has a great SP profile but has been a little costly at his last couple. STRATEGIC FORCE (5) won an easier race at Werribee just over two weeks ago, look for him late.
Race 6: Lord Stakes Handicap 1700m
FUTURE SCORE (4) made it three on the bounce when he was perfectly ridden to score resuming at Pakenham. It was a nice effort off a 22-week break to go straight to the mile and win, Olly jumps on and he maps perfectly again.
ODEON (2) was beaten on his merits by the top pick last time after looking the winner, Willow takes the ride, that may be the difference. GOLD FIELDS (1) went north for the Villiers last time, he has been up a long time and still racing well. He will be up on the speed for a long way. LIVING THE DREAM (9) hasn’t missed a place in 6 starts this prep, winning the latest couple. He has versatility and Yendall will have some decisions to make early.
Race 7: Christmas Stakes Handicap 1200m
EF TROOP (6) showed what a great turn-of-foot he has when winning across the border in SA last time. He sat behind the leaders settling before angling wider, when he balanced up, he drove hard to win comfortably. This looks no harder.
SPIRIT OF AQUADA (9) was held-up at a vital stage in the run home at Flemington behind the Halvorsen last time, he was very good late. CRYSTAL DREAMER (1) beat home a much harder field of sprinters when resuming off a 12-month break, his two runs since have been fair. ALL TOO ROYAL (5) is resuming and loves it fresh, he has won 3 of 4 when first-up and will be finishing as good as any.
Race 8: BM78 Handicap 1400m
VONGOLE (15) can make it wins to book-end the card for the Jusufovic yard. He was beaten as favourite when resuming off a 6-month break, he settled back in the field before making a quick run to take the lead inside the 100m but may have just run out of condition late. Fitter today with the winkers on for the first time.
JENTICO (13) is better than what she showed resuming, she had a soft run in transit but never travelled. She should get the gun run here as well, forgive her that run. TITAN BLINDERS (6) won resuming then settled just off the pace last time before taking over in the straight and being run down late. This is harder. CRITICAL THINKING (1) hasn’t won in a while but showed improvement running through the line well last time.