July 17, 2020
Tips

Caulfield (Sat)

Geelong

Caulfield Racing Tips – May 30th

We will be at Caulfield this Saturday.

Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 9m entire circuit.

Best Bet: Race 7: SIKORSKY

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Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1100m

ISLAND JOY (11) debuted at Cranbourne and was easy in the betting but still retained favourtism at the off. She was forced to sit three-wide no cover close to the speed before running on strongly to score. She was certainly doing best on the line and the step up in trip won’t hurt. From the good draw she only needs luck (or to lead).

Dangers:

CRYSTAL CHIEF (6) made his debut up the straight two weeks ago, he was only fairly away and it may have cost him the race. He settled last and ran on hard to only be beaten half a length, a better getaway would have seen him in a stalking position early. VALAQUENTA (3) is in his second prep, he resumed at Randwick and didn’t have a lot of luck behind a couple of smart ones who have come out and run well since. DARK HORSE (2) won at Sandown on debut after not going around a horse having a soft run behind the leader and getting a rails run.

Race 2: 3YO Fillies BM78 Handicap 1100m

SOMALS (10) won her first two starts, she was then beaten by the very talented Rubisaki and at her latest sat off the track over 1400m at Flemington and was well beaten, a tough ask around that long turn. She resumes today and has been good at the jump-outs, they can sit wide here from the 1100m start and win so the draw shouldn’t worry her.

Dangers:

BUTTON EXPRESS (5) is very consistent, she has only missed a place twice in 8 starts this time in. She likes to take control in her races, she will be hard to run down if she finds the top. FELICIA (8) comes through the same race as her last time, she will also be going forward but may have to sit parked with the draw she has. BROADWAYANDFORTH (3) is yet to place in four runs this campaign but her runs have been good enough, she will be the one to benefit if those two go at each other early.

Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1200m

LEITER (10) is coming back in trip from the 7 furlongs last start, she led them up and just didn’t run out the trip. He gets a good claim with eth h3kg coming off, will be up in the speed and always runs well here at the track.

Dangers:

It looks a very tough race on paper. RUBAN BLEU (6) has had two starts back since resuming from the paddock, both of them on heavy tracks. He ran through the line well at the latest and gets an extra 100m here fully fit. Those that backed MRS O’MALLEY (14) last start at the $5 may not be keen to back up on her as she didn’t even leave the starting gates. She has a good turn-of-foot when let down, she will get back so hopefully they ride her for luck from the inner draw (assuming she jumps this time). DUBAI DOMINION (3) is an interesting runner having his first Australian start form the Maher/Eustace stable, he was last seen at Listed level in the UK.

Race 4: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1600m

GRINZIGER ALLEE (9) handles the soft conditions well, two starts back at Bendigo he bolted in to win a much easier race after showing good acceleration from the back. He then went to Pakenham and was deep in the red last time, after getting wide he ran on hard but was beaten by an impressive winner who came out and won at her next start.

Dangers:

LIBRATE (2) is going for three wins on the bounce, she usually races up on the speed but showed her versatility last time at Flemington after getting back to mid-field. RIGHT YOU ARE (4) bolted in to win his maiden before going to the paddock, he showed he has come back well with a strong win at Werribee from the back. Harder here but looks to have plenty of upside and Olly sticks with the ride. SMOKE BOMB (6) is another going for three straight wins, he led and won by 5 at Cranbourne last start. A little concerning that he has not placed at two previous soft track runs.

Race 5: Mares BM90 Handicap 1200m

Where to look here….. JAMAICAN HURRY (11) has won three in a row, she has the wide draw to overcome but that shouldn’t matter as she will get back anyway. She resumed off an un-official break at Flemington (8 weeks off) and stormed home up the straight to get up in the last few strides. Look for her late.

Dangers:

GODODDIN (7) rarely runs a race and comes through the same race as the top pick last time. She did seem to have her chance but may have took the lead too early, she goes good here at the track. TWITCHY FRANK (2) is 6-weeks between runs, she comes back to 6 furlongs after going 1400m last time, she will be up on the speed with cover and has a good SP profile. DYSLEXIC (1) comes down from Sydney, this looks no harder than the G3 she contested 2 weeks ago where she didn’t have much luck.

Race 6: Handicap 1100m

NEWS GIRL (4) has had a couple of runs back, she was on the heavy track here three weeks ago and after a perfect run in transit, chased hard to get up late and go clear with a good gap to third. The horse he got past late there has since come out and won on Sydney last start so the form-lines looks good.

Dangers:

HAWKER HURRICANE (8) has started to show his potential as a 3YO, he led for a long way in the Wangoom at the Bool over the carnival, he will push on again but has none if he has to sit parked in the breeze. TAVISAN (5) comes through the same race as the top pick, eh led for a long way and looks another horse that will punching through looking for the top. ASHLOR (2) has tactical speed but can also take a sit, he was heavily backed to win the feature sprint at Wagga over their carnival but was poor and not suited the way the race was run.

Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1600m

SIKORSKY (6) was well backed and started fave at HQ a fortnight ago, after over-racing through the mid-stages, he ran on hard to score easily. He wasn’t far off a couple of talented ones prior to that, he should have no problem stepping up to this class. He looks the best of the day.

Dangers:

NO SAY IN IT (8) resumed at Ballarat 20 days ago after coming across from Lindsay Smith’s WA yard to the Bool, he settled a mile back and ran on hard, just finding one better. BARTHOLOMEU DIAS (5) is quite the mouthful and a most interesting runner, the Maher/Eustace team have this gelding that was last seen in the UK in September. He won three races over there, Zahra booked, watch the betting. SOMETHING SILVER (11) will be giving them a start, she needs everything to go right but will hit the line hard if all goes to plan.

Race 8: BM84 Handicap 1400m

PRINCE RAGE (6) is another one of these Maher/Eustace runners that are making their Australian debut. He is an American bred horse that is 38 weeks between runs, he wasn’t far away at Listed level when last seen in France and was a recent Sandown jump-out winner. Watch the betting again, especially the last 5 minutes.

Dangers:

JUMBO OZAKI (12) is very talented and has not missed a place over 10 career starts, he beat home Sikorsky last start who looks a good thing in the previous race, see how that form line stacks up. VIRAL (9) has won three races this campaign including the last two, he showed his versatility settling a lot closer last start. Willow to Olly is an interesting jockey change? HEPTAGON (1) probably should have almost won the Wangoom at Warrnambool, he was held-up approaching the turn before hitting the line well.

Race 9: Handicap 2000m

SUPER TITUS (3) won a similar race to this last start at Flemington, he was mid-field in the run before driving hard to get up narrowly. He is very honest and maps to get the right run again in an open race, he looks a great each-way bet. There will likely be double figure odds available about him.

Dangers:

HANG MAN (11) over-raced here three weeks ago on the heavy track, he dashed quickly to hit the lead before fading late. He is likely to get a mile back from the draw but saved for one run, can win.  INVERLOCH (4) is much better than what he showed in the Warrnambool Cup, he races well here and led all the way at G3 level two starts back here to score. GIRL TUESDAY (6) was most unlucky in the Hawkesbury Cup before going to SA last start and was never in the race against the tempo. Olly rides, I think she will be backed at some stage of the betting, go Top Fluc as I think she will shorten through the last 10 minutes.

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