Caulfield Racing Tips – Sat July 13
We will be at Caulfield this Saturday.
Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 6 – JUNIPAL
Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1200m
CAN’T BE DONE (1) has only tasted defeat once in his three start career, that was here at Caulfield but he was brave in defeat after sitting up outside the lead. He has been on the speed at all three runs and looks to be able to control the race rom in front again.
LADY LOIRE (6) may have been favoured by the tempo of the race on debut but she couldn’t have been more impressive. She sat behind the leaders before angling clear and exploding away to win by almost 6 lengths. This is obviously harder but wow was she good to the eye. AVON RIVER (7) was good resuming, she ran on hard to just miss a place, she may be wanting further though? SUKOSHI (8) won at bi odds on debut in what has proven a good form reference, she then appeared in the steward’s report last time when slow to recover.
Race 2: Mares Handicap 1200m
MISS VIXEN (4) has had 6 weeks between runs, she was most unlucky last time here at the track when held-up early in the straight. She got clear inside the furlong and ran on hard, the 1.3 lengths was an unfair indication.
CHARLAYNE (5) has been in Sydney at her last couple., she will also get back and may need some luck getting away from the inside when the runs come.
FRAGONARD (2) was beaten by MISS IANO (3) here last time but gets the weight turnaround meeting her 2.5 kgs better. She may be able to get away with a slow tempo on the speed as most of the major players will be back in the field in the run.
Race 3: BM78 Handicap 1400m
GROUNDBREAK (2) has the wide draw but will get back anyway, he was really strong through the line and will appreciate stepping out to the 7 furlongs. He is a winner here previously at the track also.
BALLET MASTER (8) is very consistent but will also get back in the run, CRYPTIC JEWEL (15) probably looks the best of the on-pacers, she was easy in the betting last time but was a dominant winner on the heavy track. LAURE ME IN (1) was only fair first-up and never really got into the race, this looks no harder and he has a win second-up previously. He will be giving them a start but happy to oppose him for the win.
Race 4: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1400m
FIGHT (4) led all the way to win his maiden at Mornington two back, he then went to Sandown at his first crack out of maiden grade and was on the speed all the way again for a soft win. Willow was on board for both of those rides and although this is harder, expect him to roll forward and control the race from outside the leader.
MORRISSY (2) won at his only start at the track, he was beautifully ridden last time to win at Sandown but I doubt he will get the same luxury here. SMART ELISSIM (1) got a charmed rails run last time to dash to the lead here a fortnight ago for a dominant win. That was a big form turnaround from his previous two starts and he needs to start showing some consistency.
CASHED UP (7) has won two in a row and certainly handles the wet conditions, any more rain around wouldn’t hurt his chances.
Race 5: Handicap 1400m
ORGANZA (3) was game in defeat when travelling north to Queensland at Listed level last time, she was held-up approaching the small straight at Ipswich but hit the line well to run second. A little concerning that this is her first go the Melbourne way, but the class drop is more significant.
FLYING KRUPT (4) got too far back last time, from the good draw she maps well here and races well at the track. NOTIO (5) resumed with a good tough win at Sandown last time, he ran on hard from well back and has a terrific record second-up. ELITE DRAKE (7) is well into his prep, he has won his last two including last time here at the track. He looks the best of the on-pacer sand should give a sight.
Race 6: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2000m
JUNIPAL (1) is still yet to win out of maiden grade, but it is hard to forget that run where he bolted in by 10. He has since taken a trip to WA to tackle the feature 3YO races over the summer, and most recently to QLD for the QLD and Sunshine Coast Guineas. This is a huge drop in class and he should be winning, any rain around wouldn’t hurt.
TAVIRUN (3) is an enigmatic type, he was good leading all the way in a similar race here last time. He will need some soft sectionals through the middle as he did last start. CRIMSON ACE (5) is drawn out but gets back in the run anyway you would think from the draw, she has been consistent in her short career and will hit the line hard. DOROZA (7) has not won since his debut run but has been hitting the line well of late. If they go hard, he will be finishing as good as any.
Race 7: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1200m
GOLDEN HALO (2) looks suited by the likely strong tempo, she ran on hard to win over the carnival at Swan Hill, then went to Flemington and again worked home well from the back. She has a really good turn-of-foot when saved for one run, look for her late.
TELL ME (1) had no luck when the runs came here last start, she never really got a crack at them until late and was still only beaten just under 2 lengths. VOILA (3) was the winner of that race, she was also impressive after doing things wrong early. She got to the middle of the track and overpowered them late. GODODDIN (9) was well beaten in Sydney last time, she started favourite but was given no favours when posted wide on the speed throughout. She led all the way previously, she will be looking to cross them early.
Race 8: Sir John Monash Stakes WFA 1100m
BANDIPUR (3) loves racing here at the track and has the fitness edge over a few of his main rivals. He was beautifully ridden to win here last start, since then he has had a change of stable and has left the Cummings yard.
It looks an open race and the betting will be key with those resuming. SOOTHING (13) is one of those, a couple of her wins in Sydney last time were brilliant. She placed here at Listed level last time she was at the track, her latest trial was impressive also.
CRACK THE CODE (14) is another that is resuming, a couple of questions about her taking on the older horses at WFA for the first time, any money late for her would be encouraging. If there is any rain around then JUNGLE EDGE (1) has to come into contention, you know what you get with him.
Race 9: BM90 Handicap 1700m
SHROUDED IN MIST (9) has the inside barrier which may be a little disadvantage as she will get back, if the breaks come her way, she will steaming over them late. Her win at Sandown was soft two back then she produced the best closing sectionals of the race here a fortnight ago. Look for her late.
Plenty of them in what looks an open race. EXASPERATE (10) was dominate last start winner in much easier grade, she will also get back and probably needs to get the back of the right horse in the run home. MASTER SHUHOOD (4) is an interesting runner resuming, he has had two runs in Oz and has trialed ok. He may need further and will improve on what he does here. BEDFORD (3) won on the heavy track last time and is also a get-back type, tactics will play a big role in this.