July 16, 2020
Tips

Canterbury (Wed)

Canterbury

Canterbury Racing Tips – Wed May 27th

We will be at Canterbury this Wednesday.

Track: Heavy 9. Rail: Out 6m entire straight.

Best Bet: Race 6 – PINVINCIBLE

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Race 1: 2YO Fillies Maiden Handicap 1250m

BALLISTIC LOVER (1) was a very short-priced favorite when she went up the Highway to Wyong for start three. She didn’t seem to handle the track and after over-racing early, wobbled around the turn and was ok in the run home but her only excuses were of her own doing. She gets a couple of gear changes and gets the soft inside draw.

Dangers:

MIRAVELLE (5) is a first-starter for the Newnham yard, she was a trial winner at home at Randwick recently on the soft track. ZELIFY (6) has had three trials for the Waller yard, Bowman rides but didn’t ride her at any of those three trials? Quiet run fresh perhaps? FOUND OUR THRILL (7) was only fair against some handy babies at her first prep, she resumed here with the blinkers off and has trialed well enough.

Race 2: Colts and Geldings Maiden Handicap 1250m

EQUATION (4) was solid in the market on debut at Randwick 18 days ago, he looked to have every chance behind a couple of smart ones that have come out and run well last Saturday. He gets the wide draw but do think he will take benefit from that run and should get back and run on.

Dangers:

Like the girls division of the babies, tough to know where to look with so many on debut. OREGON (9) is a first starter for the Snowden’s, they certainly know how to get one ready for its debut. SUPREMO (11) gets Nash Rawiller from the John Thompson stable, he has trialed well on the rain-affected going. CALIFORNIA CIBLE (1) has had four trials dating back to January, another from the Snowden team with McEvoy taking the ride. Interesting to note that at his four trials, he has been ridden by three other jocks.

Race 3: 3YO BM66 Handicap 1250m

VIENNA RAIN (8) won his maiden at Kembla four starts back, he was only fair at four runs since but this looks a lot easier. Before going to the paddock, he went south to Flemington over the Cup carnival and was beaten under 4 lengths in a Listed race, a horse by the name of Russian Camelot ran second! He may find them too slick early over this trip but should get the run of the race camped on the leaders.

Dangers:

BATTLEGROUND (3) sprinted quickly but was the first beaten as they straightened in the Hawkesbury Guineas, he obviously had an issue. He over-raced again last time and faded late, the tongue-tie goes on and should assist. ATLANTIC KING (6) is resuming, he did most of his racing north of the border at his first prep, He has trialed well and maps beautifully. PAPAL WARRIOR (4) is second-up for the Waller yard, he produced the best last 600m of the race when resuming and will only improve. A good chance in an open race.

Race 4: Fillies and Mares BM72 Handicap 1550m

MAUI GIRL (2) looks to have come back form the paddock really well, she has won both starts this time in. Resuming at Wyong, she was forced to sit on the speed three-wide no cover and ewas still too good. She then south to Kembla and again was wide without cover on the speed, went clear and was tiring late but had done enough, with a big gap to third.

Dangers:

MADAM LEGEND (8) also won her first two this campaign, at maiden level then at Newcastle against the girls. She had no luck at Warwick Farm last time, forget she went around and looks the obvious danger. MY DEMETRA (7) looked very one-paced in the straight at her latest but will appreciate being back on a bog track, I expect her to shorten as the rain comes. If MILUNKA (12) gets a start as the second emergency she comes right into play and will be near the top of the betting.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1900m

MONSIEUR SU (1) absolutely loves it wet, his record on heavy tracks is (8-3:2:2). Although he hasn’t won on a while and has been up for an eternity, barring last start in a harder race on a good track, he has been racing well. Two back at Warwick Farm on the heavy he led for a long way and was only run down late. He will be on the speed for a long way.

Dangers:

KIRWAN’S LANE (8) rarely runs a bad race, he has a win and four runner-up finishes over the last 5 starts. HE will be giving them a start, but Hughie knows how to time a run! CELTIC LOVE (7) is another that seems as though she hasn’t seen the paddock for a long time but is still racing well, she got up in the last few strides last start on the rain affected track. NOTABADIDEA (11) will go forward and try to lead, worth a bet in the run if he does land on the bunny early at the double figure odds.

Race 6: 4YO and Up BM70 Handicap 1250m

PINVINCIBLE (4) was poor at his first go on a heavy track at his latest run, happy to forgive that as he was (3:2-1-0) on soft tracks prior to that. This is a drop in grade, he will go forward and be on the speed and gets the blinkers for the first time. He has been back to the trials and bolted in, I expect him to be a big improver.

Dangers:

SEDITION (6) resumed in a harder race at Randwick 18 days ago, he was beaten more than 5 lengths but that was by Masked Crusader and he looks a superstar. VITESSE (11) is first-up off a 21-week break, she may want further but has trialed well. CRISTAL BREEZE (2) is an interesting runner having his first Australian start for the Lees yard. He has had 39 weeks between runs, will be interesting to see if there is any money for him.

Race 7: Colts Geldings and Entires BM70 Handicap 1550m

DONANDKIM (8) was last on a heavy track three starts ago at Listed level, he over-raced and didn’t finish the race off but hard to gauge if that was the track or the huge class rise? That was his first go on a rain affected track, he will be giving them a start and I like the way he attacked the line last start. See how the track is playing early in the day.

Dangers:

BIGBOYROY (1) has placed at 2 of 2 in the wet, he was very easy in the betting when resuming but attacked the line hard after being held-up when the runs came. He probably should have won the race. Has is very consistent. ASSAULT’N’BATHORY (6) won by a widening 4+ lengths at Canberra on the wet track, he led for a long way in the Parkes Cup at his latest, Look for him carving over early to set the speed. CHOCOLATIER (7) led for a long way when resuming but his condition just gave way late, no doubt Nash will be trying to hold the front.

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