Canterbury Racing Tips – Fri Feb 28th
We will be at Canterbury this Friday.
Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 3m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 6 – KNICKPOINT
Race 1: 2YO Maiden Handicap 1100m
DUBAI STAR (2) is a dual acceptor over the weekend, she debuted at Listed level in Melbourne and ran second, then was near the top of the betting in the Inglis sales race at Randwick back in December. She led that but was wide and off the track, weakened late understandably. She has trialed well, will be hard to catch.
JERLE (1) has placed at his last two runs, both of them up on the speed. He draws well down low and should be able to kick through and get the favourites back.
BASTAKI (9) Watch for any money for those on debut, in particular I AM SWERVING (4).
Race 2: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1200m
QUIET RIOT (1) won on debut and then was very easy in the betting here last time. He was outside the leader on a night when it paid to be hard on the rail, faded late. I expect he will be in the right spot here from the inside.
JUAN DIVA (4) sat outside the leader and wasn’t beaten far on a heavy track here three weeks ago, she was well supported to start favourite that night. WARFARE (3) has been very consistent throughout his career, he was beaten as favourite against the boys last start in this grade and fair to say he had every chance. He gets his chance from the low draw if the track plays anything like it has been in recent weeks. CAPRI LANE (5) is undefeated after two starts, the trials leading into this have only been fair. He has good speed, expect McEvoy to be using it early from the wide draw.
Race 3: BM70 Handicap 1550m
AUSTRIA (8) is going to win again soon surely? The Waller trained mare ran second at four straight starts and then last time she was three pairs back on the fence and never got clear, forget she went around that night. Drawn one, on the speed, hopefully it’s like concrete again back there near the fence.
YONKERS (2) resumed with a win on the heavy track here in this grade last time, he was in the fast lane behind the leader, not sure he maps as well here. He hasn’t done a lot wrong since arriving in Australia, 2 wins and a second from three runs. ASSAULT’N’BATHORY (1) led and tired last start on the South Coast in a heat of the Country Champs, that looks his role again and can be hard to catch if on pace on rails is on fire again. OLYMPIC LEGEND (4) is a 3YO taking on the older horses following a maiden win last start leading all the way. Don’t think the lead is there for him tonight and off the rail has been poison of late here.
Race 4: 3&4YO BM64 Handicap 1900m
This looks the toughest race on the card and thankfully it is the race before the Quaddie kicks off! BEDIVERE (7) was held-up at a vital stage here last start, looking for runs from mid-field he hit the line hard into second but never looked the winner when it was more favourable to be on the speed.
OFF HER ROCA (9) has won two in a row, her first go out of maiden grade she was way too good on the rain-affected track. Going through the grades nicely and maps well again. HAPPY CANDY (10) won her maiden two starts ago, she then was at Gosford again in an easier race and seemed to have every chance when beaten as favourite. Worth another chance. IMPACTFUL (2) won his maiden here a fortnight ago, he was well back in the fast lane on the fence before running on hard to get up late. A horse beaten 3 lengths that night has since come out and won a maiden.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1900m
POWER LIFT (4) has won two in a row at Moruya and Canberra, both of them he has been on the speed and well backed. He gets the inside draw here and can use his tactical speed to be on the pace and using the fast lane along the inside.
OPACITY (6) won his maiden two starts back then easily took the step out of that grade winning by three lengths at Gosford last time. He also looks advantaged drawing close to the rails and gets a huge jockey change, Cameron Noble to JMac. SEEINGISBELIEVING (3) didn’t seem to handle the heavy track last time, he SP’d as favourite so we must respect that. IMPAVIDO (1) doesn’t win out of turn but can be thrown in the minors off a 6-week freshen up.
Race 6: BM74 Handicap 1250m
KNICKPOINT (11) looks the best of the night, he won his first two starts before going to the paddock. He resumed on the heavy track and was very heavily backed, he got a mile back and made some ground late but never looked like winning. Always willing to forgive a wet track Warwick Farm run. He has plenty of upside.
THE ART OF THE BAR (5) is an interesting runner for the Gai/Bott yard, she hasn’t had a start for more than one year. She has had two trials leading into this, she won three time last time in and handles all conditions. Watch for any market support off such a long break. DIO D’ORO (1) gets the blinkers off for the first time, he probably wants the rain around. JUVENTUS (2) is first-up and has won twice fresh previously. He is drawn well and this looks no harder than what he was racing when last in work.
Race 7: Nightsprint BM74 Final 1100m
INTREPIDACIOUS (9) resumed in a heat of this race a month ago, she sat outside the leader before taking over early in the straight and was only run down late. She has had a month between runs but was good winning a recent trial. Drawn well, did Rachel king have the pick of the rides? She will go forward early.
ROMAN WOLF (8) led and faded late on the beery heavy track on the re-scheduled Inglis day at Warwick Farm. He was huge odds in what was a much harder race, JMAc, replaces Rachel King. BUCKIN’ BEAUTY (4) led and was run down late in her heat of this series two starts back on a heavy track, she then went back against the girls and led all the way last time. Inside gate, on speed, neither of those seem to be a disadvantage. MONTE DITTO (6) ran on hard to place against the pattern in the latest heat a fortnight ago, he should settle closer.
Race 8: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1200m
It will take a Hughie gem from the wide gate, happy to have TURNSTYLE (9) on top. She won when resuming as favourite, she did all the work sitting outside the leader. Last start in the rich Inglis 3YO sprint on the heavy track, she was four-wide no cover throughout and faded late off the torrid run. Look for Hughie to be carving over, if he can lead, load up again in the run.
SAAS FEE (4) is also drawn wide, she is yet to miss a place in four career starts. She wasn’t beaten far in the G3 Gosford feature Belle Of The Turf last start before going to the paddock. She has trialed well but will be giving them a start. VALDOSTANA (12) won her maiden two starts back when second-up, her first go out of that grade last time she ran on well after over-racing as favourite into second. DOROTHY OF OZ (7) may need the run, she is fresh today and has good tactical speed, her trials have been fair.