February 28, 2020
Tips

Canterbury (Fri)

Canterbury

Canterbury Racing Tips – Fri Feb 14th

We will be at Canterbury this Friday.

Track: Heavy 8 Rail: Out 6m entire straight

Best Bet: Race 7 – ACCELERATO

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Race 1: 3YO Maiden Handicap 1550m

IMPACTFUL (1) was big odds on debut on the Kenso track over 1400m, he got a mile back and was cluttered up on the inside. He was still 4 or 5 lengths off them into the straight, looking for runs, he exploded through the gap when it came to be beaten under a length. The extra distance suits and I like the way he accelerated when asked.

Dangers:

CHARLES SEVEN (2) has placed at all three runs this prep, he maps well and should have the cold sit on the leaders. He has had his chances though at the last couple, he was really good on the soft two starts back. LA TIGRESA (5) was really good from the back last start at Kembla after getting very wide in the turn, she was clearly the best of the back-markers. The winner also came from back in the field but saved a lot more ground in the run home. STRANGE CHARM (8) has handled the conditions well previously.

Race 2: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1550m

NIMALEE (5) had to work early to get up outside the leader early at Warwick Farm last start and was too strong to win her first race out of maiden grade. She draws well and the in-form Tom Marquand stays on, the map reads well and she should be on the speed for a long way.

Dangers:

GLAMOUR FOX (4) has won on the soft ground previously, I liked the way she worked to the line last start at Warwick Farm from a mile back. THE PROMISE (2) has been up for a while., he was only plain last start when well in the market in a harder race than this. She stormed home to win the start prior, always happy to forgive a run when they have a howler at Warwick Farm. TEREKA (6) has run on hard at both starts this prep from a mile back and looks suited getting out to the 1500m.

Race 3: Mares BM70 Handicap 1250m

AIM FOR PERFECTION (1) was heavily backed when resuming on the heavy track, ran on well enough with some good closing sectionals. She was the first beaten last time but clearly had an issue, the stewards ordering her back to the trials after being slow to recover. She was given a very easy time of it in winning that trial.

Dangers:

MAJELLA (5) is an interesting runner resuming, she won her last two before going to the paddock including bolting in at Canberra on a soft track. This is her toughest test but she goes well. SEENTOMANY (2) is an interesting runner down from the Gold Coast, she resumed at the Sunny Coast and ran on hard to win and looks to have come back well. She has won second-up previously and should get a soft mid-field run one-off the fence. ACCOY (4) has a good record in the wet, last time she was on a heavy track she produced the best sectional of the race placing at Kembla.

Race 4: BM70 Handicap 1900m

PEACE OF MIND (5) led and bolted in at Gosford two starts back, settled a lot further back at Kembla last time and hit the line well running into second. I am not sure where she will get to in the run, Jay Ford can often be negative when drawn wide. She is very consistent and hopefully she goes forward and looks for cover.

Dangers:

MOUNTAIN BREATH (2) placed on the slow track last start when second-up producing the best overall sectionals of the race. JMac replaces Hugh, she maps to get the perfect run. FABRICATOR (4) has placed at two of three when on heavy tracks, you know what you will get with him he will be up on the speed for a long way and making his own luck. BEDIVERE (7) ran on well from a mile back last time and has a good third-up record, just not sure about the inside gate and on a wet track. Would need to see some money for him at the odds.

Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1550m

ZEPPELIN (2) did it the hard way winning here at the track in a similar race last start. He sat up outside the speed, took over early in the straight and never really looked like getting run down. Hopefully Nash rides him positively again from the wide gate.

Dangers:

OFF SHAW (6) and THINK IT OVER (4) come through the same race at Warwick Farm last start., the former was having his first Australian start and never really got a crack at them, forget he went around. The latter got a mile off them and was forced to change his run early in the straight and attacked the line hard to narrowly miss. He placed at his only other second-up run. ISLAND MISSILE (5) was also in that race and stuck wide throughout, that looks the right form line for this.

Race 6: Nightsprint BM72 Handicap Heat 3 1100m

SIR ELTON (1) Has the wide draw to overcome but every horse gets their chance from the 110m start here with the long run to the first turn. He has good speed and should be working across erly, he was ok but had every chance resuming in a harder race. Blinkers back on, looks to be overs early.

Dangers:

INTREPIDACIOUS (6) resumed here at the track two weeks ago, he sat up outside the speed and stuck on well only to be run down late. That looks her spot again with the good claim. DEFERENCE (5) is yet to win out of maiden grade but has been very consistent, he resumed at Warwick Farm and finished off well after a torrid run back in the field wide and without cover. TEXAS FORVER (14) comes into calculations if the 3YO can get a start as the first emergency.

Race 7: Evening Star BM76 Handicap 1250m

ACCELERATO (11) doesn’t win out of turn but is very consistent, he has placed at all three runs here at the track including last start beaten as an even money favourite. He was held-up early in the straight before running on hard to miss by the smallest possible margin. This is harder but he arguably should have won that.

Dangers:

CONODR (4) sat up outside the speed and stuck on well enough in these conditions in a harder race last time, he gets the good claim and will push forward early. ORIENTAL RUNNER (2) has the wide draw to deal with, it is a long run to the first turn but he showed last start that he can sit off the track and still be there at the finish. He has trialed well on a heavy track also. MANHATTAN MIST (5) handles these conditions well, it’s been a while between wins but he will be up on the speed making his own luck.

Race 8: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1250m

QUIET RIOT (2) was very heavily backed on debut and started flip of the coin odds, He was forced to do a stack of work early three and four-wide without cover before eventually getting to the breeze. He shared the lead going into the straight and kicked well to hold on. You don’t see them win like that often there.

Dangers:

BEST STONE (6) will be up on the speed, she led all the way to win her maiden here three weeks ago, the margin was comfortable by 1.5 lengths with another 4 back to third! Nash retains the ride and will be hard to run down. VALDOSTANA (11) beat the girls to win her maiden last start also up on the speed, she looks to have a bit to learn though. Doubt she can sit parked and win. PLAQUETTE (9) is another last start maiden winner sitting up on the pace, she won by a little over a length with daylight third here a fortnight ago. Probably takes a sit from the draw with the speed coming across from out wide.

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