August 18, 2022
Featured Tips

Eagle Farm (Sat)

Eagle Farm

Melbourne Racing Tips  – Saturday April 30, 2022

Saturday @ Eagle Farm:

Track: Soft 5. Rail: Out 5m.

OUR BETS:

3:42pm Race 8
#2 COUNT DE RUPEE (Best)
#6 BALLER


PREVIEWS

Race 8: VICTORY STAKES 1200M

COUNT DE RUPEE (2) was well beaten in his first 2 runs at the elite level, the G1 Newamrket 1200 and G1 TJ Smith 1200 but returned to form with a good 2nd in the G3 Hallmark 1200 behind KEMENTARI last start. This fellow was a game 2nd to I’M THINDERSTRUCK in the Golden Eagle last prep. From barrier 1 he should be able to box seat here and with racing fitness on his side, looks a good chance at the $5.50 on offer.

Dangers:

BALLER (6) is first up here after an ok trial behind ROTHFIRE. He is 3 from 8 first up and racing on his home track. He won 2 races this time last year including the G2 Moreton Cup 1200. He maps to box seat here and will get every chance to notch another win. ROTHFIRE (3) was impressive in a recent trial but is coming back from a major injury. The wide barrier doesn’t help and the likely soft ground isn’t ideal either. I want to see him come back and win a race in this grade before I back him. Can win but is too short for me at the skinny odds.

Betting Approach:

(2) COUNT DE RUPPE: 0.6 unit’s to win @ $5.50
(6) BALLER: 0.4 unit’s to win @ $8.50

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