September 23, 2020
Tips

Ballarat (Wed)

Caulfield

Ballarat Racing Tips – May 20th

We will be at Ballarat this Wednesday.

Track: Soft 5. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 4 – BRAY STREET BOSS

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Race 1: 2YO Maiden Plate 1200m

I think the best I can do here is give an introduction to the days meeting, racing heads to Ballarat for the Melbourne metro mid-week meeting. A full field of 12 with 6 emergencies of 2YO’s to start the day, where to look! If you must bet here in the first, look for some support for those on debut. SIR WARWICK (8) is a Mick Price debutant that has the blinkers on for start one, ALCYONE (1) is a first-starter for the Godolphin yard and James Cummings whilst CAMERATA (9) trialed at Pakenham for the Anthony Freedman yard. ENERGY WITHIN (11) looks one of the best of the raced brigade, she wasn’t beaten far at her latest and didn’t have much room when closing late.

Race 2: Maiden Plate 1400m

Unlike the first, there only look a few chances here. INTELLECTIVE (3) has placed at all 5 starts, three of the first four at prep number one where at his home track of the Bool. He resumed at Donald and was very heavily backed into red figures, after sitting three-wide with no cover she stuck on well until fading late. She should be better for the run.

Dangers:

CABINHO (1) was beaten out of sight on debut and sent straight to the paddock. He was well backed late when resuming, got back in the run and hit the line hard for second with a big gap to third. VISTABELLE (8) looks the only other chance, was ok on debut then over-raced last time, may be a place chance only. SUBLIME DIVA (6) was beaten a long way on debut at Werribee, stepping up form 1100m – 1400m a little query?

Race 3: Maiden Fillies and Mares 1600m

VIVID ART (12) didn’t show a lot at her first two starts since resuming, she showed improvement last time at Kembla over 1400m. She will be making her own luck up on the speed, at Kembla she made the running before getting nailed late. The race has proven a good form reference with the winner coming out and bolting in at her next start at Taree.

Dangers:

AU PAIR (2) showed a good turn-of-foot last start before peaking on her run late, she comes back off a heavy track, is out to the mile and fully fit third-up. RUE GRANDE (9) has placed at three of four, there was obviously a problem fresh, she was well backed late last start and chased hard but did have every chance. Stepping up to the mile looks to be beneficial. If CRUNCHIE (14) gets a start here as a dual-acceptor, she comes right into calculations (she is nominated for 4 other races this week, including Moe on Tuesday).

Race 4: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1000m

BRAY STREET BOSS (1) has won two races this campaign across the border in SA but it is not either of those runs that interest me. Two starts back at Bendigo, he was only beaten 1.4 lengths by Masked Crusader the day he resumed, he then over-raced last time in a much harder race. This stable must be respected when coming to Victoria.

Dangers:

NAVAL ENVOY (3) broke through at start number three for his first win, he led all the way at Geelong before going to the paddock. He has been gelded in the time off and maps well. STARDEN LASS (4) won her first two starts then placed behind a couple of handy ones, she is first up off a long break but am a little worried about the jockey booking. CARELESS WHISPER (6) was good on a heavy track resuming, she won her maiden second-up last campaign.

Race 5: BM64 Handicap 1200m

SAPPHIRE CROWN (5) was each-way odds on debut at Werribee, he was slowly away and over-raced behind the leader. He was checked early on and lost a yard or two, he ran on hard to win although he looked like he still had a lot to learn. He looks to have plenty of upside.

Dangers:

DESERVED (7) resumes for the in-form Matt Cumani yard, she was beaten out of sight at her latest two runs before going to the paddock but was thrown I the deep end in black type races. She may need an extra furlong. ROYALTY (9) resumes as a gelding with the blinkers off for the first time, he was last seen at Flemington in Cup week at G3 level. BLACK AND TAN (4) has had 5 weeks between runs, he was last seen at Warracknabeal in a much easier race but was a dominant winner. Harder here, Zahra taking the ride is a plus.

Race 6: BM70 Handicap 2000m

METEOR LIGHT (6) looks suited getting out in trip, he bolted in by almost 6 lengths last campaign when out to the 2400m. He resumed at Sandown Lakeside 18 days ago, he was forced to work to get on the speed and tired late. He will be better for the run and the extra trip. I like the way he maps and should have the cold sit on the leader.

Dangers:

Tough race. ARTY LUCAS (3) placed in a Horsham Cup last prep after winning three straight, he hadn’t been showing much this campaign before improving here at Ballarat last time. He looks the leader, if everything goes right and left alone, will be hard to run down. ALLANO (10) was a real eye-catcher at the Bool over the carnival, amazingly he was away from the track for more than 4 years before resuming this campaign. 242 weeks between wins, is this his day? JENKINS (12) was also at the Bool last time, he was held-up at a vital stage before getting out late and hitting the line well.

Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1400m

SHAHZADE (11) resumed at Geelong and although the beaten margin reads more than 3 lengths, she should have finished closer as she was checked and lost all momentum inside the furlong before getting going again late. She then went to Sandown and sat wide and was way too good on the heavy track, look for her late. She looks one of the best of the day.

Dangers:

NORDIC (9) is an interesting runner that has had a stable change, formerly with the John O’Shea yard and now with the Mike Moroney yard. He has the blinkers off, some money for him late in the betting would get the confidence up. ZOUBO (10) should be fitter for two runs back, last start she wasn’t beaten far after sitting three-wide no cover. Look to see if there are any scratching’s, DARLAMAX (13) is the first emergency and resuming he has placed at two of three when fresh and has only missed a place at one of 9 career starts.

Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1600m

GARIMPEIRO (7) is a Lindsey Smith trained son of Al Maher that debuted at Donald 11 days ago. He opened up short in the betting but drifted throughout to start $6, after settling mid-field in eth run he ran on hard to score easily. He goes from 1350m to the mile which looks right up his alley the  way he ran through the line. The stable can be very hit or miss, bet up if the money comes.

Dangers:

CURLY BURGIN (10) won his maiden at Wodonga three back, he settled closer in the run last time at Pakenham but may not have handled the heavy track. IOWA HAWKEYE (5) has the wide draw to overcome, he will roll forward and Mick Dee probably looks for the spot outside the leader. He has placed at both his previous third-up runs and should be fully fit here staying at the mile. Once again, a lot will depend on what is scratched and when, (13) PERSAN will probably start favourite if the 3YO Maher/Eustace colt gets a start.

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