Morphettville

BEST BETS
Race 2 no 2 El Desperado
Race 7 no 9 Mystified
Race 8 no 11 Serenely Discreet

Morphettville Parks – Saturday, 12 August 2017
Track: Soft. Weather: Fine (). Rail: Out 6m from 1000m to Winning Post, 4m Remainder. Sectional 608m
Assessed for: –

Race 1 – Medallion Homes Hurdle (Over the Rainbow Jumping Series) (Main Track) – Open – 3200 – 12:31
Top Pick: Bold Zamour (1)
Danger: Abebe (3)
Trifecta: About the Journey (2)
Multi: Transfixed (5), Cable Bay (4), Tangara (8), Strike the Stars (7)

Tip Comment: Definite early e/way value with Bold Zamour (1)

Betting Confidence: 65%

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Race 2 – UBET Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1300 – 01:06
Top Pick: El Desperado (2)
Danger: Atlantica (4)
Trifecta: Shera Khan (6)
Multi: Leorbit (3), Dobell (1), Trystoff (5)

Tip Comment: Have El Desperado marked very short…expected to win!!

Betting Confidence: 98%

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Race 3 – Adelaide Galvanising Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1250 – 01:41
Top Pick: Supreme Polarity (1)
Danger: Miss Jane (9)
Trifecta: Sudden Wealth (4)
Multi: Infinity Queen (3), Miss Identified (8), Stragun (7), Magnus Knight (6)

Tip Comment: Tough/open little race. Do however like Supreme Polarity (1) e/way!!

Betting Confidence: 70%

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Race 4 – Irish Race Day – 2nd September Handicap – BenchMark 82 – 1550 – 02:16
Top Pick: Balf’s Choice (1)
Each-way: Temps Voleur (8)
Trifecta: London Fog (6)
Multi: Kapset (7), Chestnut Charlie (5), Kirona (9), Sandhill Warrior (2)

Race Comment: Balf’s Choice (1) again expected to justify his short quote & win. Temp’s Voleur (8) improver/value!

Betting Confidence: 90%

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Race 5 – Hughes Limousines Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1950 – 02:56
Top Pick: Via Cavour (7)
Danger: Vintage Grove (9)
Trifecta: The Willybe (5)
Multi: Kazoom (10), Rong Door Reggie (6), Welcome Ned (3), Eigelstein (2)

Tip Comment: Via Cavour has certainly taken a liking for recent wet tracks coming into this off the back of four straight placings. Obviously bursting to break through & certainly prefer her dropping back to this trip…strong e/way claims again! Vintage Grove steps up to this trip for first time however has been finding the line of late in his races to suggest it may actually suit. Although doesn’t win out of turn still must respect! The Willybe Vic visitor that does look well placed here-opened short??
Race Comment: Tough middle distance affair. Via Cavour (7) again should go around at good e/way odds & looks the early value!

Betting Confidence: 70%

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Race 6 – Holdfast Insurance Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1400 – 03:36
Top Pick: Vega de Lago (3)
Danger: Vieira (9)
Value: Autumn Street (10)
Multi: Ilovewhatsebrings (4), Miss Murra (7), Groove With Me (6), Lord Topper (5)

Tip Comment: Vega de Lago comes into this off a terrific last start runner-up effort when really found the line strongly late in a tougher BM75 when having first run track/dist. Actually gets in carrying same weight after claim! Vieira certainly hasn’t had the best of luck when still far from disgraced in his past two starts. On the quick back-up here & does give every indication the rise to 1400m now suits. Autumn Street finding it hard to win however hasn’t actually been too far away of late-not hopeless!
Race Comment: Keen to dutch the top two selections in Vega de Lago(3) & Vieira(9) however also showing plenty for Autumn Street(10) at odds.

Betting Confidence: 80%

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Race 7 – James Boag’s Premium Handicap – BenchMark 75 – 1000 – 04:16
Top Pick: Mystified (9)
Danger: Barood (4)
Roughie: Casque (14)
Multi: Removal (3), Evil Dreams (8), Destiny’s Reward (11), Kentucky Flyer (6)

Tip Comment: Mystified last start Lightning Stks placegetter formlines obviously reads huge for this. Again drawn ideally & actually drops 2kg for this much more favourable race. Bursting to win again & seriously won’t get many better opportunities than this…very hard to beat!! Barhood landed some nice wagers at odds despite covering ground t’out when a strong last start winner-must respect again if able to reproduce that effort! Casque there was plenty to like about this blokes run two starts back-value!
Race Comment: Pretty keen here on Mystified(9)…one of the days better bets!! Barood(4) & Casque(14) early value.

Betting Confidence: 90%

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Race 8 – Schweppes Handicap – BenchMark 82 – 1300 – 04:53
Top Pick: Serenely Discreet (11)
Each-way: Battle Brewing (4)
Trifecta: Usain Dane (3)
Multi: Chamois Road (5), Go the Journey (1), Little Akie (2), Justify That (6)

Tip Comment: Serenely Discreet most impressive G2 Manifold Stks winner during Melb Spring Carnival last prep. Had plenty of excuses & certainly forgiving after covering plenty of extra ground t’out 1st-up. Has since been freshened again & importantly drawn much more favourably here…hard to beat! Battle Brewing super honest galloper that must be said gets in well now after the claim. Another drawn to get lovely run-respecting! Usain Dane admittedly finding it hard to win however loves the Parks circuit!
Race Comment: Have a definite opinion of Serenely Discreet(11)….certainly capable of blowing this lot away if anywhere near right!

Betting Confidence: 85%

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